Tuesday, May 31, 2011

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DON’T TRY TO TIME THE MARKET. AS TEMPTING AS IT IS TO TRY, IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO TIME THE STOCK MARKET. PEOPLE HAVE WRITTEN MILLIONS OF PAGES OF RESEARCH ON THIS TOPIC AND NO ONE HAS EVER FOUND A LEGITIMATE WAY TO DETERMINE ITS TRENDS.
USE COST AVERAGING. BY BUYING STOCKS ON A PERIODIC BASIS (LIKE ONCE A PAYCHECK, ONCE A MONTH OR EVEN ONCE A YEAR), YOU WILL ALWAYS BE BUYING AT AN AVERAGE PRICE. IF YOU TRY TO TIME THE MARKET, YOU MAY BE BUYING AT A HIGH OR LOW VALUATION.
TAKE TAXES INTO ACCOUNT. WHEN YOU BUY STOCKS, TRY TO HOLD THEM FOR MORE THAN ONE YEAR SO YOU GET TAXED AT THE LONG TERM CAPITAL GAINS RATE, WHICH IS CURRENTLY 18%. IF YOU SELL YOUR STOCK BEFORE ONE YEAR, YOU WILL BE TAXED AT YOUR ORDINARY INCOME TAX RATE, WHICH IS ALMOST ALWAYS HIGHER THAN 18%, SOMETIMES TWICE AS HIGH.INVEST AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE INTO TAX-SHELTERED 401K, 403B AND IRAS. BY INVESTING IN TAX DEFERRED PLANS, YOU ARE ABLE TO INVEST MONEY AND NOT WORRY ABOUT THE TAX IMPLICATIONS. WITH 401K AND 403B PLANS, YOU GET TO INVEST YOUR EARNINGS BEFORE TAXES, SO THE INVESTMENT WILL GROW ON A HIGHER BASE. FOR EXAMPLE, IF YOU RECEIVED A PAYCHECK FOR $2,000 GROSS PAY AND TAXES WERE TAKEN OUT, YOU'D BE LEFT WITH ONLY $1,200 OR SO TO INVEST. THE INVESTMENT RETURN ON $1,200 COULD BE SUBSTANTIAL, BUT IF YOU COULD INVEST THAT SAME $2,000 IN A TAX DEFERRED ACCOUNT, YOU WOULD BE INVESTING AND EARNING A RETURN ON $2,000 INSTEAD OF $1,200. ALSO, MANY EMPLOYERS OFFER MATCHING INVESTMENTS THAT COULD MAKE THAT $2,000 INVESTMENT EQUIVALENT TO A $4,000 INVESTMENT. PUT AS MUCH AS YOU CAN INTO THESE TAX DEFERRED INVESTMENTS.
DIVERSIFY YOUR INVESTMENTS. DON'T JUST INVEST IN STOCKS. IT IS BETTER IF YOU DIVERSIFY YOUR INVESTMENTS INTO OTHER ASSET CLASSES INCLUDING REAL ESTATE (A HOUSE), CASH (SAVINGS ACCOUNT OR CD) AND MAYBE EVEN BONDS. THAT WAY, IF ONE ASSET CLASS REALLY UNDERPERFORMS, YOU WILL HAVE SOME EXPOSURE TO THE BETTER PERFORMING ASSETS.DIVERSIFY YOUR STOCKS (MUTUAL FUNDS). WHEN INVESTING IN THE STOCK MARKET, DON'T LOAD UP ON JUST ONE OR TWO STOCKS. DIVERSIFY YOUR INVESTMENTS ACROSS MANY STOCKS. IF YOUR PORTFOLIO IS NOT LARGE ENOUGH TO BUY 15 OR MORE DIFFERENT STOCKS, YOU SHOULD CONSIDER PURCHASING ONE OR MORE MUTUAL FUNDS TO ENSURE DIVERSIFICATION.

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Monday, May 30, 2011

nifty outlook for 31-05-2011

BULLS MADE ANOTHER ATTEMPT TO JUMP OVER
5500, TOUCH 5509 AND CLOSES AT 5473.
IF BULLS FAILS TO CLOSE ABOVE 5533 ON TUESDAY,
THEN BEARS WILL START TO PLAY.
NIFTY IS UNDER THE BEARS GRIP AS LONG AS IT
TRADING BELOW 5755 WHERE 200 DMA PLACED.

AS PER ASTRO ON GURU NOW SAILING IN RISHBAM
AMSAM. MOON IS GOING TO SAIL IN MESHAM AND
RISHABAM THIS WEEK. GREEN TREND MAY RETURN.

TECHNICAL REMAIN SAME AS FOLLOWS,
FOR BULLS, WE FEEL SOME MORE STEAM LEFT IN
SYSTEM FOR BULLS. BULLS
CAN TOUCH 5533 OR 5555. GO ALONG WITH
DAILY MOMENTUM AND EXIT WITH MINIMUM POINTS.

BEARS,
NOW KEEP EYE ON 5533. IF NIFTY UNABLE TO JUMP
OVER 5533 BEFORE TUESDAY CLOSING, THEN
INITIATE FRESH SHORTS KEEPING 5555 AS STOPLOSS.

STOCKS TO WATCH

ABAN OFFSHORE BUY AT 560.90 TARGET 575
BAJAJ FINSERV BUY AT 488.00 TARGET 500
COAL INDIA BUY AT 388.25 TARGET 400

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Sunday, May 29, 2011

Indian stock markets will bounce back in the coming week.

The weakness in the Indian capital market, caused by factors like high inflation , crude prices,and weak global indications, is not likely to impact its future prospects that continue to be robust in long-term.

Sensex, has dived 11 per cent from the peak of 20,509.09 points in January this year and 13.86 per cent from its all-time high of 21,206.77, as on on January 10, 2008.

The bearish sentiment at the stock marketss is accompanied by a steep decline in inflows from foreign institutional investors this year.
So far this year, FIIs have been net sellers as they have sold equities worth Rs 2,274.10 crore, while last year they had made record investments in the Indian capital market, as per data available on market regulator SEBI's website.

In the year 2010, FIIs had purchased stocks and bonds worth around Rs 10 lakh crore, the highest for a year and nearly one-fifth of their overall investment so far.

But market observers believe that "It's ( FII selling) not permanent. In a downtrend, selling pressure in equities is normal."

FII flows are likely to remain moderate to weak because of the natural tendencies of equity market as an asset class becoming unfavourable with high interest rate regime. Moreover, the recent political and corporate fiascoes has put the FII flows on tenterhooks.

Further, with higher interest rates and unstable commodity prices, Indian stock market would go through big ups and downs ahead.

Corporates would feel the pinch of margin pressure and hence a slowdown in earning and lowering of earning estimates in coming quarters could not be ruled out.

Sector-wise, banking, capital goods, oil refineries, cement and infrastructure would be under pressure owing to inflationary pressure, higher interest rate regime and higher crude prices and under-recoveries.

This week, stock market is likely to carry forward the gains it made last week on the back of enhanced buying by foreign funds amid hopes that blue chips, like Mahindra & Mahindra and Reliance Communications will deliver results as estimated.
The kind of rally the market witnessed on the day of the derivatives roll over and on Friday, it is very likely that it will continue with the trend as foreign institutional investors seem to have gathered confidence in the domestic equity market.

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Saturday, May 28, 2011

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Friday, May 27, 2011

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DON’T TRY TO TIME THE MARKET. AS TEMPTING AS IT IS TO TRY, IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO TIME THE STOCK MARKET. PEOPLE HAVE WRITTEN MILLIONS OF PAGES OF RESEARCH ON THIS TOPIC AND NO ONE HAS EVER FOUND A LEGITIMATE WAY TO DETERMINE ITS TRENDS.
USE COST AVERAGING. BY BUYING STOCKS ON A PERIODIC BASIS (LIKE ONCE A PAYCHECK, ONCE A MONTH OR EVEN ONCE A YEAR), YOU WILL ALWAYS BE BUYING AT AN AVERAGE PRICE. IF YOU TRY TO TIME THE MARKET, YOU MAY BE BUYING AT A HIGH OR LOW VALUATION.
TAKE TAXES INTO ACCOUNT. WHEN YOU BUY STOCKS, TRY TO HOLD THEM FOR MORE THAN ONE YEAR SO YOU GET TAXED AT THE LONG TERM CAPITAL GAINS RATE, WHICH IS CURRENTLY 18%. IF YOU SELL YOUR STOCK BEFORE ONE YEAR, YOU WILL BE TAXED AT YOUR ORDINARY INCOME TAX RATE, WHICH IS ALMOST ALWAYS HIGHER THAN 18%, SOMETIMES TWICE AS HIGH.INVEST AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE INTO TAX-SHELTERED 401K, 403B AND IRAS. BY INVESTING IN TAX DEFERRED PLANS, YOU ARE ABLE TO INVEST MONEY AND NOT WORRY ABOUT THE TAX IMPLICATIONS. WITH 401K AND 403B PLANS, YOU GET TO INVEST YOUR EARNINGS BEFORE TAXES, SO THE INVESTMENT WILL GROW ON A HIGHER BASE. FOR EXAMPLE, IF YOU RECEIVED A PAYCHECK FOR $2,000 GROSS PAY AND TAXES WERE TAKEN OUT, YOU'D BE LEFT WITH ONLY $1,200 OR SO TO INVEST. THE INVESTMENT RETURN ON $1,200 COULD BE SUBSTANTIAL, BUT IF YOU COULD INVEST THAT SAME $2,000 IN A TAX DEFERRED ACCOUNT, YOU WOULD BE INVESTING AND EARNING A RETURN ON $2,000 INSTEAD OF $1,200. ALSO, MANY EMPLOYERS OFFER MATCHING INVESTMENTS THAT COULD MAKE THAT $2,000 INVESTMENT EQUIVALENT TO A $4,000 INVESTMENT. PUT AS MUCH AS YOU CAN INTO THESE TAX DEFERRED INVESTMENTS.
DIVERSIFY YOUR INVESTMENTS. DON'T JUST INVEST IN STOCKS. IT IS BETTER IF YOU DIVERSIFY YOUR INVESTMENTS INTO OTHER ASSET CLASSES INCLUDING REAL ESTATE (A HOUSE), CASH (SAVINGS ACCOUNT OR CD) AND MAYBE EVEN BONDS. THAT WAY, IF ONE ASSET CLASS REALLY UNDERPERFORMS, YOU WILL HAVE SOME EXPOSURE TO THE BETTER PERFORMING ASSETS.DIVERSIFY YOUR STOCKS (MUTUAL FUNDS). WHEN INVESTING IN THE STOCK MARKET, DON'T LOAD UP ON JUST ONE OR TWO STOCKS. DIVERSIFY YOUR INVESTMENTS ACROSS MANY STOCKS. IF YOUR PORTFOLIO IS NOT LARGE ENOUGH TO BUY 15 OR MORE DIFFERENT STOCKS, YOU SHOULD CONSIDER PURCHASING ONE OR MORE MUTUAL FUNDS TO ENSURE DIVERSIFICATION.

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Thursday, May 26, 2011

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Wednesday, May 25, 2011

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Tuesday, May 24, 2011

nifty ,out look for the day

BEARS TAKING REST AFTER BIG INNINGS AND
BULLS ARE SEARCHING FOR REMOTE HOPES.
GLOBAL MARKETS TRADING FLAT AND GIVVING
NO CLUES.

BULLS MAY RECOVER FROM TODAY LOW 5367 OR
FROM 5333. ANY FURTHER SLIP IN NIFTY WILL
GIVE VALUE TO THE FOLLOWING LINES.

5355 IS THE FIRST TARGET OF BEARS. 5266 IS
ANOTHER TARGET. AS PER TECHNICAL SOURCES,
ANY BREAK-DOWN BELOW THE
5222-66 LEVELS WILL LEAD NIFTY TO 4444.


TECHNICAL VIEW
================

LAST(24/05) CLOSE@5394 (+8 POINTS)

LAST HIGH@5422 LOW@5367
WEEKLY HIGH@5541 LOW@5367

5DMA@5423
20DMA@5546
50DMA@5638
200DMA@5755

IMMEDIATE TREND NEUTRAL.
POSITIVE ABOVE 5422.
NEXT RESISTANCE ARE AT 5444 AND 5488.
NEGATIVE BELOW 5377.
NEXT SUPPORTS ARE AT 5355 AND 5311.

5-DAY RSI 33 AND 14-DAY RSI 37.
INDICATES NIFTY PLACED IN BEARISH ZONE.

WEEKLY KEY RESISTANCE@5555/5644
WEEKLY PIVOT @5466
WEEKLY KEY SUPPORT@5355/5266

EXPECTED RANGE FOR 25/05/2010.
IN SPOT 5311-5488

SPOT RESISTANCE FOR 25/05/2010 5444/5488
SPOT SUPPORTS FOR 25/05/2010 5355/5311


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Monday, May 23, 2011

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1- Avoid using credit cards. Credit cards make it too easy to spend what you don’t have.
2- If you must use a credit card, only buy items for which you know you already have the money for.
3- Make a list of your fix expenses for a month (rent, phone, electricity, heating, etc.). Then, compare that to your income for the month (salary, tips, investment income). If you make less money than your fixed (regular) expenses, then you must cut back on fixed expenses (e.g. get a smaller apartment or a roommate, a cheaper phone plan, etc.). Also, you could get a second job earn more income. If you make more money than your fixed expenses, after including food and a minimum for clothes and transportation, then you have what is called discretionary income, that is the remainder of your income after deducting all of the above.
3- Limit yourself to a certain amount of cash a week, depending on your discretionary income. For example, if you make $ 500 a week, and you deduct your fixed expenses (1/4 of rent, 1/4 of utilities, 1/4 monthly transit pass, etc.) and determine that you have $ 100 left, then put that amount in an envelope in your bedroom. Take out half at the beginning of the week and put it in your wallet. This way, you will force yourself to live within the cash in your wallet, but still have some left over if you spend it too fast. This discipline forces you to make choices when your out (not ordering wine at a restaurant, not buying those expensive shoes, etc.)
4- If you occasionally need to make a large purchase, deduct it from your weekly envelope and put it in a second envelope. Don’t make the purchase until you have most of the money saved up. In this example, say you wanted a $ 199 iPod, you would take out say $ 20 a week (plus found money like birthday cash, extra tips, etc.) and put it in the second envelope until you had enough money to buy it (at most 10 weeks).
5- You also need to build up savings for a rainy day (new bed, vacation, retirement, etc.). This must come out of your discretionary income. So, if you have $ 100 extra a week, take $ 20 or so and put it into a savings account. The Rule of Thumb is to pay yourself first (i.e. save) between 5% and 10% of your Gross Income (or salary before taxes).
6- To discipline your expenses. Avoid shopping unless you have the money. When you don’t go to stores, you can’t get tempted. If you must go ‘see what’s out there’, leave your credit and ATM cards at home. Should you find something that you really like or think you need, you could always return another day. At least you’ll have 24 hours to think about it.
7- Try to figure out why you ‘impulse buy’. Is it because you spend to much time shopping? Is it because you’re bored? Are you unhappy with some aspect of your life (job, relationship, etc.)? Then you might want to substitute shopping with other activities, such as sports, outings with friends, a new hobby, a course at school, or in activities to meet new people. Consult the newspaper listings for community events and inexpensive or free activities (open museum days, public pool, bowling, biking, tours of your home town, etc.). If you find that you are depressed, consult a therapist to get to the source of your unhappiness, if you think this applies to you
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Saturday, May 21, 2011

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Friday, May 20, 2011

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Thursday, May 19, 2011

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Wednesday, May 18, 2011

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